TLDR:
- Milestone: Trump’s “Big Beautiful Act” passed 51-50 in the U.S. Senate on July 2, 2025, due to VP Vance’s tie-breaking vote. The bill has a tough House vote this week.
- Narrative: Republicans are marketing the bill as an economic and immigration win to boost their midterm chances, but the public doesn’t like it (29% approve, 49% disapprove), and economists are calling for limited economic benefits and more fiscal strain.
The United States Senate passed President Trump’s “Big Beautiful Act” on July 2, 2025, on a 51-50 vote, with Vice President Vance casting the deciding vote. Three Senate Republicans voted with Democrats to oppose the bill. The legislation moves to the House, where the vote will be tight due to united Democratic opposition and potential Republican defections.
Republicans contend the legislation will spur the economy, halt illegal immigration, and cut wasteful Medicaid and welfare expenses, which will enable them to maintain their congressional majority in the midterms. However, in a recent poll, 49% of Americans oppose the legislation, 29% support it, and 21% are undecided. A majority of economists warn it may not spur the economy and can worsen fiscal woes. The House vote is expected this week, with an uncertain result.
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